Independent, reproducible measures of the federal small-business marketplace.
The Federal Marketplace Index tracks where federal contract dollars actually flow, how much of the marketplace mandatory small-business protections actually reach, and which way both are trending — from roughly 30 million public contract records, reconciled against the government's own published totals. Every number can be rebuilt by anyone, from public data, with the code on this site.
Where the mandatory Rule of Two applies
Share of five-year contract dollars (FY2022–FY2026) in each protection layer. The teal band — standalone awards between the micro-purchase threshold and the simplified acquisition threshold — is the only layer where small-business set-asides are mandated by statute.
Contract dollars by Rule of Two protection layer
The migration into the order channel
Share of each category's dollars flowing through task and delivery orders, by fiscal year. Small-business dependence on the order channel has risen every year of the window while the overall market's share has held roughly stable — the migration is concentrated on the protected categories.